Monday, June 18, 2007

Polls,

Clinton leads Obama by double digits in new poll or so this story says. I am reading Fear and Loathing on the Campaign Trail right now. This book is about Hunter Thomson following McGovern's '72 campaign for president. In reading this book something has occurred to me that is missing from all these stories about Hillary being the democratic front runner. She is in the same spot as Howard Dean in 04, Tsongas in 92, Gary Hart in 88, in 76 there was no clear front runner but Carter wasn't even on early polls, Edmund Muskie in 72, LBJ in 68. Besides incumbent or VP (Clinton and Gore), Mondale is the only front runner before votes were cast to win the nomination. So good luck Hillary it looks like you will need it. Get ready for a bunch of articles about the big upset.

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